PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Wrobleski vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Wrobleski's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Sinker 11%Curveball 7%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 2%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 VC Victor Caratini SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.