PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Wrobleski vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Wrobleski's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Slider 28%Sinker 11%Curveball 8%Cutter 6%Changeup 4%Sweeper 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BB Byron Buxton RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BL Brooks Lee SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Austin Martin RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-23 game page →