PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Wrobleski vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Wrobleski's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Slider 28%Sinker 11%Curveball 7%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 1%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EJ Edouard Julien LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edouard Julien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-07 game page →