PITCHER MATCHUP
Justin Wrobleski vs Colorado Rockies
How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Justin Wrobleski's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Sinker 11%Curveball 7%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 2%
How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .308
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1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 WC Willi Castro SH .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 CN Connor Norby RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 CC Cole Carrigg SH .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BS Brett Sullivan LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Sullivan
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.