PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Wrobleski vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Wrobleski's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 28%Sinker 11%Curveball 7%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 2%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-17 game page →