PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Wrobleski vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Wrobleski's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 27%Sinker 11%Curveball 6%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 2%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 SS Spencer Steer RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.