PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Wrobleski vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Wrobleski's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Slider 29%Sinker 11%Curveball 8%Cutter 6%Changeup 4%Sweeper 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .269
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NF Nick Fortes RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .268
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-16 game page →