PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Wrobleski vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Wrobleski's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Slider 28%Sinker 11%Curveball 7%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .268
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .264
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 BW Ben Williamson RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NF Nick Fortes RHB .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.