PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Wrobleski vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Wrobleski's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 27%Sinker 11%Curveball 6%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 2%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .273
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .256
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.