PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Wrobleski vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Wrobleski's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 28%Sinker 11%Curveball 7%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 2%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.