PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Wrobleski vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Wrobleski's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Sinker 11%Curveball 7%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 691 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 596 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 556 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.