PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Wrobleski vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Wrobleski's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Slider 28%Sinker 11%Curveball 7%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-21 game page →