PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Wrobleski vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Wrobleski's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 27%Sinker 11%Curveball 7%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 2%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .376
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-06 game page →