PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Wrobleski vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Wrobleski's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 28%Sinker 11%Curveball 7%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 2%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-13 game page →