PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Wrobleski vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Wrobleski's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 28%Sinker 11%Curveball 7%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 2%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 554 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 629 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.