PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Wrobleski vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Wrobleski's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Slider 28%Sinker 11%Curveball 7%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .331
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LR Luke Raley LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CE Colt Emerson LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.