PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Wrobleski vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Wrobleski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Wrobleski's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Slider 28%Sinker 11%Curveball 7%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%Sweeper 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Wrobleski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MB Michael Busch LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.