PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Verlander vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Verlander's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Verlander's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .329vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%Sweeper 6%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Verlander, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EQ Edgar Quero SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edgar Quero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.