PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Verlander vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Verlander's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Verlander's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .329vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%Sweeper 6%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Verlander, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TP Tristan Peters LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 EQ Edgar Quero SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edgar Quero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-21 game page →