PITCHER MATCHUP

Justin Verlander vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Justin Verlander's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Justin Verlander's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .329vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Slider 22%Curveball 16%Changeup 9%Sweeper 6%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Justin Verlander, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TP Tristan Peters LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.