PITCHER MATCHUP
J.T. Ginn vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against J.T. Ginn's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
J.T. Ginn's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 42%Slider 20%Changeup 16%Cutter 14%Four-Seam Fastball 7%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against J.T. Ginn, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
-
1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Sinker (42% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Sinker (42% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Sinker (42% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
4 RG Riley Greene LHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Sinker (42% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
5 CK Colt Keith LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Sinker (42% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Sinker (42% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
- Sinker (42% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Sinker (42% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 JB Javier Báez SH .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
- Sinker (42% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.