PITCHER MATCHUP

J.T. Ginn vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against J.T. Ginn's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

J.T. Ginn's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .259Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 42%Slider 21%Cutter 16%Changeup 15%Four-Seam Fastball 6%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against J.T. Ginn, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-07 game page →