PITCHER MATCHUP

J.T. Ginn vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against J.T. Ginn's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

J.T. Ginn's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .343vs RHH xwOBA .261Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 42%Slider 20%Changeup 17%Cutter 15%Four-Seam Fastball 7%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against J.T. Ginn, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CK Colt Keith LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.