PITCHER MATCHUP

J.T. Ginn vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against J.T. Ginn's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

J.T. Ginn's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 42%Slider 20%Changeup 16%Cutter 14%Four-Seam Fastball 7%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against J.T. Ginn, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .220 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.