PITCHER MATCHUP

J.T. Ginn vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against J.T. Ginn's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

J.T. Ginn's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 42%Slider 20%Changeup 16%Cutter 14%Four-Seam Fastball 7%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against J.T. Ginn, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SS Spencer Steer RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DM Dane Myers RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.