PITCHER MATCHUP

J.T. Ginn vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against J.T. Ginn's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

J.T. Ginn's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .254Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 41%Slider 20%Changeup 16%Cutter 15%Four-Seam Fastball 7%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against J.T. Ginn, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 599 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-09 game page →