PITCHER MATCHUP

J.T. Ginn vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against J.T. Ginn's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

J.T. Ginn's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 42%Slider 20%Changeup 16%Cutter 14%Four-Seam Fastball 7%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against J.T. Ginn, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TS Trevor Story RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NS Nick Sogard SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.