PITCHER MATCHUP

J.T. Ginn vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against J.T. Ginn's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

J.T. Ginn's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 42%Slider 20%Changeup 16%Cutter 14%Four-Seam Fastball 7%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against J.T. Ginn, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.