PITCHER MATCHUP

J.T. Ginn vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against J.T. Ginn's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

J.T. Ginn's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .348vs RHH xwOBA .253Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 41%Slider 20%Changeup 16%Cutter 15%Four-Seam Fastball 7%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against J.T. Ginn, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JM Jake Mangum SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Sinker (41% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.