PITCHER MATCHUP

J.T. Ginn vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against J.T. Ginn's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

J.T. Ginn's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .343vs RHH xwOBA .261Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 42%Slider 20%Changeup 17%Cutter 15%Four-Seam Fastball 7%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against J.T. Ginn, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .390
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-21 game page →