PITCHER MATCHUP

J.T. Ginn vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against J.T. Ginn's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

J.T. Ginn's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 42%Slider 20%Changeup 16%Cutter 14%Four-Seam Fastball 7%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against J.T. Ginn, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .388
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Sinker (42% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.