PITCHER MATCHUP

JT Brubaker vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JT Brubaker's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JT Brubaker's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 47%Slider 25%Changeup 13%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 5%Unknown 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against JT Brubaker, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MV Matt Vierling RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.