PITCHER MATCHUP

JT Brubaker vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JT Brubaker's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JT Brubaker's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 47%Slider 25%Changeup 13%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 5%Unknown 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against JT Brubaker, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .273
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Sinker (47% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.