PITCHER MATCHUP

JT Brubaker vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JT Brubaker's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JT Brubaker's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .333vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 48%Slider 25%Changeup 13%Curveball 9%Four-Seam Fastball 4%Unknown 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against JT Brubaker, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Sinker (48% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Sinker (48% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Sinker (48% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Sinker (48% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Sinker (48% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Sinker (48% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Sinker (48% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Sinker (48% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JO James Outman LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Outman
    • Sinker (48% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .216 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.