PITCHER MATCHUP

JR Ritchie vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JR Ritchie's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JR Ritchie's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .359vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026
Curveball 25%Sinker 20%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Changeup 18%Cutter 9%Slider 7%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against JR Ritchie, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 616 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-22 game page →