PITCHER MATCHUP

JR Ritchie vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JR Ritchie's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JR Ritchie's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .352vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026
Curveball 25%Sinker 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Changeup 18%Cutter 8%Slider 7%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against JR Ritchie, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SS Spencer Steer RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DM Dane Myers RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.