PITCHER MATCHUP

JR Ritchie vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JR Ritchie's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JR Ritchie's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .376vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026
Curveball 24%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Changeup 19%Sinker 17%Slider 10%Cutter 10%Unknown 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against JR Ritchie, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF Ty France RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RD Rodolfo Durán RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rodolfo Durán
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SS Sung-Mun Song LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sung-Mun Song
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-23 game page →