PITCHER MATCHUP

JR Ritchie vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JR Ritchie's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JR Ritchie's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .355vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026
Curveball 26%Sinker 21%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Changeup 18%Cutter 8%Slider 7%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against JR Ritchie, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.