PITCHER MATCHUP

JR Ritchie vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JR Ritchie's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JR Ritchie's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .352vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026
Curveball 25%Sinker 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Changeup 18%Cutter 8%Slider 7%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against JR Ritchie, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CK Carson Kelly RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 PR Pedro Ramírez SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Ramírez
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Matt Shaw RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Shaw
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.