PITCHER MATCHUP

JR Ritchie vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JR Ritchie's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JR Ritchie's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026
Curveball 26%Sinker 20%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Changeup 18%Cutter 10%Slider 8%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against JR Ritchie, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 554 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 615 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PR Pedro Ramírez SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Ramírez
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-16 game page →