PITCHER MATCHUP

JR Ritchie vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JR Ritchie's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JR Ritchie's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .365vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026
Curveball 25%Sinker 20%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Changeup 18%Slider 9%Cutter 9%Unknown 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against JR Ritchie, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-12 game page →