PITCHER MATCHUP

JR Ritchie vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JR Ritchie's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JR Ritchie's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026
Curveball 26%Sinker 20%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Changeup 18%Cutter 10%Slider 8%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against JR Ritchie, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.