PITCHER MATCHUP

JP Sears vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JP Sears's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JP Sears's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sweeper 25%Changeup 17%Sinker 9%Slider 9%Curveball 2%Cutter 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against JP Sears, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.