PITCHER MATCHUP

JP Sears vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JP Sears's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JP Sears's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .296vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sweeper 25%Changeup 17%Slider 8%Sinker 8%Curveball 2%Cutter 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against JP Sears, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-25 game page →