PITCHER MATCHUP

JP Sears vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JP Sears's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JP Sears's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sweeper 26%Changeup 17%Sinker 8%Slider 7%Curveball 3%Cutter 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against JP Sears, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.