PITCHER MATCHUP

JP Sears vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JP Sears's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JP Sears's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sweeper 25%Changeup 17%Sinker 9%Slider 9%Curveball 2%Cutter 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against JP Sears, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 561 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.