PITCHER MATCHUP

JP Sears vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JP Sears's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JP Sears's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sweeper 25%Changeup 17%Sinker 9%Slider 9%Curveball 2%Cutter 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against JP Sears, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 610 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 625 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.