PITCHER MATCHUP

JP Sears vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JP Sears's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JP Sears's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sweeper 26%Changeup 17%Sinker 8%Slider 7%Curveball 3%Cutter 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against JP Sears, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 577 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .219 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.