PITCHER MATCHUP

JP Sears vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JP Sears's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JP Sears's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sweeper 25%Changeup 17%Sinker 9%Slider 9%Curveball 2%Cutter 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against JP Sears, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 676 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .218 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .429 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.