PITCHER MATCHUP

JP Sears vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JP Sears's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JP Sears's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sweeper 25%Changeup 17%Sinker 9%Slider 9%Curveball 2%Cutter 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against JP Sears, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 625 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .221 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .457 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.