PITCHER MATCHUP

JP Sears vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JP Sears's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JP Sears's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Sweeper 25%Changeup 17%Sinker 9%Slider 9%Curveball 2%Cutter 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against JP Sears, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GS George Springer RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (25% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.