PITCHER MATCHUP

JP Sears vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against JP Sears's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

JP Sears's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Sweeper 26%Changeup 17%Sinker 8%Slider 7%Curveball 3%Cutter 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against JP Sears, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-10 game page →