PITCHER MATCHUP

José Suarez vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against José Suarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

José Suarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Changeup 26%Slider 23%Sinker 9%Sweeper 3%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against José Suarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CK Colt Keith LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.