PITCHER MATCHUP

José Suarez vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against José Suarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

José Suarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Changeup 26%Slider 23%Sinker 9%Sweeper 2%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against José Suarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-09 game page →