PITCHER MATCHUP
José Soriano vs Cincinnati Reds
How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against José Soriano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
José Soriano's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Knuckle Curve 26%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Splitter 14%Slider 6%
How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against José Soriano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
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1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MM Matt McLain RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 DM Dane Myers RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.