PITCHER MATCHUP

José Soriano vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against José Soriano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

José Soriano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 39%Knuckle Curve 26%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Splitter 14%Slider 6%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against José Soriano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 606 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-12 game page →