PITCHER MATCHUP

José Soriano vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against José Soriano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

José Soriano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Knuckle Curve 26%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Splitter 14%Slider 6%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against José Soriano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.