PITCHER MATCHUP

José Soriano vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against José Soriano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

José Soriano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Knuckle Curve 26%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Splitter 14%Slider 6%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against José Soriano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 TS Trevor Story RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NS Nick Sogard SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.