PITCHER MATCHUP

José Soriano vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against José Soriano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

José Soriano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Knuckle Curve 26%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Splitter 14%Slider 6%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against José Soriano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RP Richie Palacios LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.