PITCHER MATCHUP

José Soriano vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against José Soriano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

José Soriano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Knuckle Curve 26%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Splitter 14%Slider 6%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against José Soriano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Coby Mayo RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.