PITCHER MATCHUP

José Soriano vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against José Soriano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

José Soriano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 40%Knuckle Curve 26%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Splitter 13%Slider 6%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against José Soriano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Coby Mayo RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Colton Cowser LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-24 game page →