PITCHER MATCHUP

José Soriano vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against José Soriano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

José Soriano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 40%Knuckle Curve 26%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Splitter 13%Slider 6%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against José Soriano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LR Luke Raley LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .371
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .432 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CE Colt Emerson LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Sinker (40% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-30 game page →