PITCHER MATCHUP

José Soriano vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against José Soriano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

José Soriano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Knuckle Curve 26%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Splitter 14%Slider 6%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against José Soriano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.