PITCHER MATCHUP

José Soriano vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against José Soriano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

José Soriano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 39%Knuckle Curve 26%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Splitter 14%Slider 6%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against José Soriano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TW Taylor Ward RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 593 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.