PITCHER MATCHUP

José Soriano vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against José Soriano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

José Soriano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Knuckle Curve 26%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Splitter 14%Slider 6%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against José Soriano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LR Luke Raley LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CE Colt Emerson LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LR Leo Rivas SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Rivas
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.