PITCHER MATCHUP
José Soriano vs St. Louis Cardinals
How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against José Soriano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
José Soriano's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Knuckle Curve 26%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Splitter 14%Slider 5%
How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against José Soriano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
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1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .359
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NC Nathan Church LHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 JF José Fermín RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 JC Jimmy Crooks LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jimmy Crooks
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.