PITCHER MATCHUP

José Soriano vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against José Soriano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

José Soriano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 39%Knuckle Curve 26%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Splitter 14%Slider 6%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against José Soriano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .226 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-20 game page →