PITCHER MATCHUP

Jose Quintana vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jose Quintana's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jose Quintana's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Changeup 21%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Curveball 16%SV 10%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jose Quintana, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LR Luke Raley LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CE Colt Emerson LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LR Leo Rivas SH .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Rivas
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.