PITCHER MATCHUP

Jose Quintana vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jose Quintana's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jose Quintana's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .335vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 35%Changeup 21%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Curveball 16%SV 9%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jose Quintana, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 579 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 635 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.