PITCHER MATCHUP

Jose Cabrera vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jose Cabrera's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jose Cabrera's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .347Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Cutter 25%Sweeper 14%Changeup 14%Sinker 11%Curveball 9%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jose Cabrera, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.