PITCHER MATCHUP

Jose Cabrera vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jose Cabrera's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jose Cabrera's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .427Seasons 2026
Cutter 28%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sweeper 16%Curveball 13%Changeup 8%Sinker 7%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jose Cabrera, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Cutter (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Cutter (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Cutter (28% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Cutter (28% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Cutter (28% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Cutter (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF Ty France RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Cutter (28% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Cutter (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Cutter (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-08 game page →