PITCHER MATCHUP

Jose Cabrera vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jose Cabrera's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jose Cabrera's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .375vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026
Cutter 26%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sweeper 16%Curveball 12%Changeup 12%Sinker 9%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jose Cabrera, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Cutter (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.