PITCHER MATCHUP

Jordan Hicks vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jordan Hicks's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jordan Hicks's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 52%Sweeper 26%Four-Seam Fastball 10%Splitter 8%Slider 3%Unknown 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jordan Hicks, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Sinker (52% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Sinker (52% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Sinker (52% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Sinker (52% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Sinker (52% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BB Byron Buxton RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Sinker (52% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Sinker (52% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Sinker (52% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Sinker (52% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-30 game page →