PITCHER MATCHUP

Jordan Hicks vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jordan Hicks's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jordan Hicks's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 53%Sweeper 26%Four-Seam Fastball 9%Splitter 8%Slider 4%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jordan Hicks, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Sinker (53% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Sinker (53% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Sinker (53% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Sinker (53% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Sinker (53% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Sinker (53% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 BW Ben Williamson RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Sinker (53% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NF Nick Fortes RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Sinker (53% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Sinker (53% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-01 game page →