PITCHER MATCHUP
Jordan Hicks vs Tampa Bay Rays
How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jordan Hicks's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jordan Hicks's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 51%Sweeper 26%Four-Seam Fastball 11%Splitter 8%Slider 3%Unknown 1%
How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jordan Hicks, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .305
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1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
- Sinker (51% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
- Sinker (51% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
- Sinker (51% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .285
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
- Sinker (51% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
- Sinker (51% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .284
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
- Sinker (51% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 RP Richie Palacios LHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
- Sinker (51% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
- Sinker (51% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
- Sinker (51% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.