PITCHER MATCHUP

Jonah Tong vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jonah Tong's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jonah Tong's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .265vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Changeup 26%Cutter 14%Curveball 10%Slider 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jonah Tong, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .382
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BS Bryson Stott LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Justin Crawford LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH Derek Hill RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Derek Hill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CT Colby Thomas RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colby Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.