PITCHER MATCHUP

Jonah Tong vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jonah Tong's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jonah Tong's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .336Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Changeup 28%Cutter 12%Curveball 9%Slider 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jonah Tong, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 708 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 607 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .386
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-20 game page →