PITCHER MATCHUP

Jonah Tong vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jonah Tong's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jonah Tong's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .360Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Changeup 29%Cutter 12%Curveball 10%Slider 2%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jonah Tong, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .370
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-14 game page →