PITCHER MATCHUP

Jonah Tong vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jonah Tong's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jonah Tong's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .265vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Changeup 26%Cutter 14%Curveball 10%Slider 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jonah Tong, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .372
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.