PITCHER MATCHUP

Jonah Tong vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jonah Tong's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jonah Tong's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .344Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Changeup 26%Cutter 14%Curveball 10%Slider 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jonah Tong, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .373
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .427 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-26 game page →