PITCHER MATCHUP
Jonah Tong vs Washington Nationals
How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jonah Tong's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jonah Tong's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .265vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Changeup 26%Cutter 14%Curveball 10%Slider 1%
How the Washington Nationals's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jonah Tong, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JW James Wood LHB .374
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .428 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 JY Jacob Young RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 BH Brady House RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.