PITCHER MATCHUP

Jonah Tong vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jonah Tong's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jonah Tong's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .265vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Changeup 26%Cutter 14%Curveball 10%Slider 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jonah Tong, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .368
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.