PITCHER MATCHUP

Jonah Tong vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jonah Tong's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jonah Tong's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .270vs RHH xwOBA .388Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 51%Changeup 28%Curveball 10%Cutter 10%Slider 2%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jonah Tong, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-07 game page →