PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .340vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Changeup 28%Curveball 25%Slider 7%Cutter 3%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Byron Buxton RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.