PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Changeup 28%Curveball 22%Slider 8%Cutter 2%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BB Byron Buxton RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Austin Martin RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-07 game page →