PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 27%Curveball 26%Slider 6%Cutter 5%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.