PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Changeup 27%Curveball 26%Slider 6%Cutter 5%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.