PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Changeup 29%Curveball 19%Slider 9%Cutter 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 WP Wenceel Pérez SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wenceel Pérez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.