PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Changeup 28%Curveball 24%Slider 7%Cutter 3%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.