PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .340vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Changeup 28%Curveball 25%Slider 7%Cutter 3%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 WC Willi Castro SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 KK Kyle Karros RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.