PITCHER MATCHUP
Joey Cantillo vs Colorado Rockies
How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Joey Cantillo's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 27%Curveball 26%Slider 6%Cutter 5%
How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 WC Willi Castro SH .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.