PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Changeup 27%Curveball 26%Slider 6%Cutter 5%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .258
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.