PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 27%Curveball 25%Slider 6%Cutter 4%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .262
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.