PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 27%Curveball 25%Slider 6%Cutter 4%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 553 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-07 game page →