PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 27%Curveball 26%Slider 6%Cutter 5%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .390
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .444 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.