PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Changeup 28%Curveball 24%Slider 7%Cutter 3%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-04 game page →