PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 28%Curveball 25%Slider 6%Cutter 4%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 ER Esteury Ruiz RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esteury Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.