PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .343vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Changeup 28%Curveball 24%Slider 7%Cutter 3%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 589 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.