PITCHER MATCHUP
Joey Cantillo vs Toronto Blue Jays
How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Joey Cantillo's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Changeup 27%Curveball 26%Slider 6%Cutter 5%
How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .319
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .285
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .365
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GS George Springer RHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MS Myles Straw RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.