PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 27%Curveball 25%Slider 6%Cutter 4%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-02 game page →